The Liaison Sandwiched between Foreign Exchange Rate and Stock Market Inclination: Empirical Substantiation from India

Vol-3 | Issue-07 | July 2018 | Published Online: 05 July 2018    PDF ( 217 KB )
DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1320411
Author(s)
Mrs. Anita Sahoo 1; Prof. Samson Moharana 2; Dr. Manoranjan Dash 3

1Research Scholar, P.G. Department of Commerce, Utkal University, Bhubaneswar, Odisha (India)

2Former Professor & HOD, P.G. Department of Commerce, Utkal University, Bhubaneswar, Odisha (India)

3Associate Professor, Siksha O Anusandhan (Deemed to be University), Bhubaneswar, Odisha (India)

Abstract

The paper examines the relationship between foreign exchange rate and the Indian Stock market movement using monthly data selected from BSE and NSE database, for the period started from April 2000 to July 2017. The different techniques employed in this study are ADF (Augemented Dicky Fuller test, VAR(Vector Auto regression) , Cointegration tests, Granger Causality test . The Cointegration test specifies that exchange rate and stock market index shows a long run association and Granger Causality test could not establish causality of any direction between exchange rate and stock market index. The findings of this study can be helpful for investors while designing their portfolio and also suggest not only the foreign exchange rate impact the stock market index other macroeconomic variables may also be considered to determine the impact on the stock market index.

Keywords
Exchange Rate, Stock Market, Investors, Portfolio
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